The Placebo Elect
Honesty is rare
these days - that’s certainly not in dispute.
Intellectual honesty is even harder to find. Before I
continue, I should define what I mean by the above
statements.
Honesty, in this case, is "outward" truthfulness. What you
tell other people.
"Intellectual Honesty" is "inward" truthfulness. In other
words, lying to oneself shows a lack of intellectual
honesty. In my opinion, it is not possible to have outward
honesty without inward honesty.
With regard to this issue, I think I can prove that Al Gore
is attempting to steal the election. And I can give
objective proof of this assertion. Objective proof is
important, in that it is theoretically impossible to
refute, and is not "politically" motivated. It just is.
Objective proof is an interesting criterion in this age of
"pregnant chads", "dimpled ballots", and other "subjective"
notions. So, I better define this term, as well:
ob·jec·tive
adj.
1.Of or having to do with a material object.
2.Having actual existence or reality.
3.a.Uninfluenced by emotions or personal prejudices: an
objective critic.
b.Based on observable phenomena; presented factually: an
objective appraisal.
[more left out for brevity]
And
proof
noun
1.The evidence or argument that compels the mind to accept
an assertion as true.
2.a.The validation of a proposition by application of
specified rules, as of induction or deduction, to
assumptions, axioms, and sequentially derived conclusions.
b.A statement or an argument used in such a validation.
3.a.Convincing or persuasive demonstration: was asked for
proof of his identity; an employment history that was proof
of her dependability.
b.The state of being convinced or persuaded by
consideration of evidence.
4.Determination of the quality of something by testing;
trial: put one's beliefs to the proof.
[more left out for brevity]
So, taking definitions 3a & b for 'objective', and 2a
for 'proof', we come up with the following complete
definition:
"The validation of a proposition by application of
specified rules, as of induction or deduction, to
assumptions, axioms, and sequentially derived conclusions.
Uninfluenced by emotions or personal prejudices, and based
on observable phenomena; presented factually."
"Observable phenomena" implies repeatability; (i.e.) able
to be reproduced by a described sequence of steps.
Anybody with any scientific training should recognize this
as an integral part of the scientific method. So, I will
inflict another definition on you:
scientific
method
noun
The principles
and empirical processes of discovery and demonstration
considered characteristic of or necessary for scientific
investigation, generally involving the observation of
phenomena, the formulation of a hypothesis concerning the
phenomena, experimentation to demonstrate the truth or
falseness of the hypothesis, and a conclusion that
validates or modifies the hypothesis.
"Experimentation" in this case is the ability to repeat a
series of steps to replicate an assertion made by another
[person] of an observed phenomena.
One of the main users of the scientific method is the drug
industry. In order to test the effectiveness of their
drugs, they use something called "double blind" studies.
One last definition:
double
blind
noun
A testing procedure, designed to eliminate
biased
results, in
which the identity of those receiving a test treatment is
concealed from both administrators and subjects until after
the study is completed. [emphasis added]
Bingo! Here we
come to the crux of the problem with "hand counting" of
ballots, especially by democratic committees. By their very
nature, they are biased. They cannot help it. So, several
possibilities occur to me here.
First, if they're ignorant of the concept of bias, and
objective proof, they will happily count every dimple,
pregnant chad, scratch, water spot, and flattened tick as a
vote for their man.
If they know about double blind studies, and the concept of
bias, and are intellectually honest, they may recuse
themselves. I haven't heard of any of these counters
recusing themselves. And it's irrelevant if a few of them
do so. There are still plenty of ignorant counters to take
up the slack.
Others may over compensate, and be more demanding than
other counters. This does no good, either, as there are
still plenty of unenlightened counters to rule
-democratically no doubt- that the ballot is for their man.
And here is the real problem. Since there is no objective
standard (aka "objective proof") as to what constitutes a
vote, even an intellectually honest person cannot correctly
read "voter intent".
Back to double blind studies.
Double blind, in regards to drug testing, means that
neither the patient, nor the observer
know what the
patient is getting. Is it the test drug? Or a sugar pill?
There is a phenomena known as the "placebo effect". This
happens when a patient receives a pill with no
medicine.Tthe patient nevertheless experiences an
improvement in his symptoms.
The critical part of double blind, however, is the
observer. If the observer knows whether or not particular
patients have the placebo, he may intentionally,
or
unintentionally introduce bias
into his observations.
Many studies have been done on this as well. What was
found, is that if the observer knew who received a placebo
and who did not, his observations were always
at
variance with observers who did not know. Even if the
observer is intellectually honest, it still skewed the
results.
We're not talking any nefarious goings on here. We're
talking honest people, trying to evaluate subtle changes in
symptoms. Even with honest people, the results were not
reliable, and therefore not reproducible, and therefore not
objective, and therefore rejected.
The scientific method has been formalized and taught in
schools for well over a hundred years. Double blind study
methods have been known for over a half century. These are
well known and regarded concepts.
So how does that relate to hand counting? Well, here we
have Al Gore and the democrats replacing a valid, proven,
double blind technique, with one that always
introduces
errors. Always. Never fails.
The counting machines are objective - they are the observer
in this equation. The paper ballots are the patient.
Together, they yield a result that is objective, and
therefore free of bias.
Replacing the observer with a (biased) person will always
result in errors. Errors that have a tendency to go in
favor of the bias of the observer.
The fact that Gore only
wants three
democratic counties counted, instead of all counties proves
he knows the above concepts. He knows hand counting is ipso
facto not objective, and will introduce errors. Errors that
will tend to improve his position to get what he wants -
more votes.
Copyright © 2000, by Neil Alexander All rights reserved.